The world economy is growing around its long-run trend.
World Real GDP Growth · annual
World growth: 3.44% — The world economy grew 3.4% in 2025 — around its long-run trend. The IMF projects 3.1% for 2026. That’s the 50th percentile of all its readings since 1980.
How we score this: alert below 2.00% · elevated 2.00% to 2.50% · watch 2.50% to 3.20% · ok 3.20% and up full method
Why it isn’t forecast: This series updates only once or twice a year — too few data points to build an honest forecast range. (The IMF's own projection is noted in the read above.)
Euro Area Real GDP · year-over-year
EA quarterly: 0.94% — Euro-area real GDP is roughly flat versus a year ago (+0.9%). That’s the 26th percentile of all its readings since 1996.
How we score this: alert below -6.00% · elevated -6.00% to -2.00% · watch -2.00% to 0.00% · ok 0.00% and up full method
China Real GDP Growth · annual
China: 4.96% — China's economy grew 5.0% in 2025, matching the year before. That’s the 9th percentile of all its readings since 1980.
Why it isn’t scored or forecast: Shown for context alongside this lens's lead growth reading. This series updates only once or twice a year — too few data points to build an honest forecast range. (The IMF's own projection is noted in the read above.)
Euro Area Real GDP Growth · annual
Euro area: 1.40% — The euro area's economy grew 1.4% in 2025, up from 0.9% the year before.
Why it isn’t scored or forecast: Shown for context alongside this lens's lead growth reading. This series updates only once or twice a year — too few data points to build an honest forecast range. (The IMF's own projection is noted in the read above.)
World Inflation · annual
World inflation: 4.13% — World consumer prices are rising 4.1% in 2025, easing from 5.8% the year before. That’s the 35th percentile of all its readings since 1980.
Why it isn’t scored or forecast: Shown for context alongside this lens's lead growth reading. This series updates only once or twice a year — too few data points to build an honest forecast range. (The IMF's own projection is noted in the read above.)
World inflation: down 3 readings in a row.